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OMNIINSIGHTS

Science of Alpha from Safety

Analysts overestimated corporate earnings in 8 out of last 10 years: Ambit

Published in Mint on 25 Jun 2020 The overestimation was at its worst in FY16 and FY17, resulting in a negative divergence of 24% and 25%, respectively. Two years, FY11 and FY19, also saw underestimation resulting in a positive divergence of 14% and 4%. Analysts in the country overestimated corporate earnings in eight out of…
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A Scientific Investor’s Review Of The SuperNormal Portfolio

Dear Investors: In the previous OmniView we have discussed how the SuperNormal portfolio is created using the Scientific Investing approach. Further, we also provided the portfolio governance process during a time of crisis like the current times. In this OmniView we will introduce you to the key segments comprising the US OmniSupreme portfolio. This is…
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International funds focused on tech giants excel; should you invest in global MFs?

(Published in MoneyControl) You need to build a US dollar-based kitty. Such investments would help you build a substantial corpus in the long-term Apple, Facebook and Microsoft, Amazon, Alibaba, Pfizer and Merck: these world-class companies have weathered the COVID-19 storm and their shares have soared. No wonder then that the rally in these stocks has…
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Scientific Investing DNA

What to expect from Scientific Investing in a time of Crisis?

Dear Investors: OmniViews, OmniTalks, and other communications We have been communicating with you, the investors and your advisors, financial planners or wealth managers, through our monthly OmniViews which are emailed to all of you on your email ids. However, if you have missed some of them, you can see them at the OmniView link following:…
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Skechers Can Survive The Lockdowns And Might Be Significantly Undervalued

With $1.37 billion of cash, Skechers can survive for around 8 months to more than a year with zero revenues. Even on a conservative, no-growth basis, Skechers is probably undervalued by more than 25%. Inclusive of growth, the expected total return yield from Skechers could be in the range of 15%-20%. Post-coronavirus world being substantially…
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Reports Of Gap’s Demise Are Highly Exaggerated, And Mr. Market’s Fears Have Mispriced The Stock

GPS management has shown clarity to survive through various possible scenarios of COVID-19 crisis. GPS management has the levers on cash expense management to navigate various scenarios. GPS likely will continue having significant cash flows from online sales, including BOPIS using curbside delivery. GPS is available at significant discounts to its intrinsic value under certain…
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SIPs in stocks: Only for seasoned and savvy investors

(Published in MoneyControl) If you are a first-time investor, stick to mutual fund SIPs We’ve known and have read plenty on mutual fund systematic investment plans (SIPs). Now, you can also start SIPs by directly buying equity shares. The present market volatility is an opportunity for savvy investors to make some long-term gains. Some brokerages…
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Should you buy disruptive tech focused global equity mutual funds?

(Published in Economic Times) A tech-led disruption refers to a seismic shift which upturns established industries and overthrows existing market leaders. It is the outcome of an innovation that transforms a product, service or biz model, often creating an entirely new market. A new crop of global funds are being launched latching on to the…
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Should you invest in the luxury brands that you use?

(Published in Moneycontrol) This will broaden your investment horizon beyond the few India-based companies and allow you to be more selective with your investments A typical high-income or high-net worth household in India spends upwards of 40 per cent of its total annual expenditure on products and services that are priced on a dollar basis.…
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Charlie Munger

Charlie Munger’s 3-stock Portfolio: Is it really what it pretends to be?

In a 2017 video, Charlie Munger famously claims that he owns just 3 investments, viz; Costco, Berkshire Hathaway and an investment in Li Lu’s investment partnership. He claims to have worked this out quite early in life and has apparently stuck to it. This is a stark claim and he uses this to justify that most…
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